Investors,
Welcome back to another iteration of ‘The Weekly Selection’, where I cover my thoughts on the market, what’s upcoming and some other little nuggets for your enjoyment.
Before we begin, take a look at This is Your Captain Speaking… Brace for Impact posted last week. This is the most recent deep dive research piece. Additionally, check out the latest Podcast at the link below.
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Indices
Not much has changed in the week to week of the market. Pandemonium remains elevated, and the market is responding as it does to periods like this: chop and sensitivity. I anticipate this to persist until some direction is given on Trumps ultimate plans with the US economy, as many of the negative signs I pointed out on the Wall Street Radio podcast are coming to fruition quite quickly.
SPY 0.00%↑ up first here, making a false breakout in the daily over the all time high. This is the first time we are seeing a false break over a long term pivot, which is obviously not great for the lore that these breakouts are usually strong. I would like to see this quickly reclaim or It would appear we will be ranging for a while.
With the broad market experiencing turbulence fueled by uncertainty, Gold silently grinds away in the corner, putting up extremely impressive 2025 performance. Again, I think this persists until more clarity is given from the white house on grand macro strategy.
Despite Healthcare XLV 0.00%↑ being off of the all time highs, the relative strength on Friday is notable, and worth watching going into the week.
Parabolic Trend Analysis
IONQ develops general purpose quantum computing systems in the US. Additionally they sell access to these computers via cloud platforms, such as $AMZN web services, $MSFT Azure, and $GOOG Cloud Marketplace.
Key drivers to this run: Global acceptance of Quantum capability and legitimacy, stimulus from the government, broad market tailwinds, retail speculation and multiple compression.
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Standout Themes
SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED: NVDA 0.00%↑ AMD 0.00%↑ ASML 0.00%↑ AVGO 0.00%↑ ARM 0.00%↑
NVDA 0.00%↑ reports earnings this week, regardless of how the chart looks, it will be important to pay attention to the reaction to that news.
COMMUNICATIONS: TMUS 0.00%↑ T 0.00%↑ ASTS 0.00%↑
Comms stocks are picking up steam as of late. ASTS more in the satellite/space theme but is obviously getting some help from the bigger players.
ELON TRADES: SHORT TSLA 0.00%↑
On the most recent podcast episode, we discussed the idea that Elon was spread too thin and this would be reflected in the TSLA share price. Sure enough, we have begun to see a slide after media coverage of Elon’s government involvement seems to crescendo in the last week. We saw something similar when he bought X, formerly known as Twitter.
SMR NUCLEAR: SMR 0.00%↑ OKLO 0.00%↑ NNE 0.00%↑
OKLO 0.00%↑, the clear SMR leader makes a 40% pullback on light volume in just a mere 5 days. There is no SMA support to keep this thing afloat, however it has been one of the strongest groups in the market.
VACCINES: NVAX 0.00%↑ BNTX 0.00%↑ MRNA 0.00%↑ PFE 0.00%↑
The news cycle has recently flooded the inbox with talks of a second covid coming out of China. Assuming this comes to pass, There are some Vaccine cos to take a look at, similar to what we saw in 2020.
BNTX 0.00%↑ hell of a setup on the weekly here, even without the Covid news this is a juicer.
Thats all for this week!
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